Thursday, November 19, 2015

QBR is the most useless metric ever

In case anyone needed any further evidence of just how meaningless the QBR© metric is the folks at Pro Football Talk have provided us with plenty: "But today I decided to dig a little deeper into what is, according to QBR, the greatest game any quarterback has ever played: Charlie Batch’s 186-yard, two-interception performance against the Buccaneers in 2010."

For the sake of everyone's well-being can ESPN get back to what it has always been the best at, i.e. televising sporting events?  And if they must insert themselves into the new-metric age, then please leave that to the trained professionals on their staff.

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Tuesday, December 04, 2012

San Diego vs. Steelers: The matchups

One might look at the Chargers' horrible record (4-8) and be tempted to take this week's Steelers opponent lightly. But this Chargers team is so much better than their record, or statistics, indicate that it promises to be a long, tough battle at Heinz Field on Sunday. Indeed, the Chargers are 0-3 against the AFC North this season, but the losses were by a combined 11 points (with seven of that coming last week versus Cincinnati), and in their road games this season the Chargers are 2-4, but have only been outscored by a combined 8 points (114-122).

With all of that in mind, here are this week's statistical matchups:

San Diego Offense v. Steelers Defense
Average total yards per game: San Diego offense 26th (322.1) v. Steelers defense 1st (259.8)

Average net rushing yards per game: San Diego offense 26th (95.0) v. Steelers defense 5th (93.1)

Average net passing yards per game: San Diego offense 18th (227.1) v. Steelers defense 1st (166.7)

Average points per game: San Diego offense 19th (21.5) v. Steelers defense 6th (19.2)

Steelers Offense v. San Diego Defense
Average total yards per game: Steelers offense 20th (342.0) v. San Diego defense 9th (335.1)

Average net rushing yards per game: Steelers offense 24th (101.1) v. San Diego defense 6th (94.5)

Average net passing yards per game: Steelers offense 14th (240.9) v. San Diego defense 21st (240.6)

Average points per game: Steelers offense: 20th (21.2) v. San Diego defense 12th (21.4)

Special Teams
Average yards per punt return: San Diego 31st (6.1) v. Steelers 27th (6.9)

Average yards allowed per punt return: San Diego 14th (9.3) v. Steelers 24th (10.9)

Average yards per kick return: San Diego 14th (24.1) v. Steelers 9th (26.2)

Average yards allowed per kick return: San Diego 7th (21.6) v. Steelers 21st (25.2)

Net yardage punting average: San Diego 15th (41.6) v. Steelers 28th (37.2)

Opponent net yardage punting average: San Diego 26th (41.8) v. Steelers 18th (40.1)

Miscellaneous
Turnover differential: San Diego 18th (-1) v. Steelers 29th (-11)

Time of possession: San Diego 5th (31:31) v. Steelers 2nd (33:31)

Red Zone touchdown efficiency (touchdowns): San Diego 24th (47.4%) v. Steelers 19th (51.3%)

Red Zone defense (touchdowns): San Diego 29th (62.1%) v. Steelers 10th (50.0%)

Sacks allowed: San Diego 28th (36) v. Steelers 11th (25)

Some Individual Numbers
AFC Passer rating: Philip Rivers, 6th (85.1 QB rating, 277 Comp., 65.3% Comp. pct., 18 TDs, 15 INTs) v. Charlie Batch, unranked (2012 season: 64.9 QB rating, Comp., 64.3% Comp. pct., 1 TD, 3 INTs)

AFC Leading rushers: Ryan Mathews, 12th (620 yards, 4.0 yards per carry, 1 touchdown) v. Jonathan Dwyer, 13th (478 yards, 4.2 yards per carry, 1 touchdown)

AFC Leading receiver: Malcolm Floyd, 17th (51 catches, 765 yards, 15.0 per catch, 4 touchdowns) v. Heath Miller 14th (56 catches, 613 yards, 10.9 yards per catch, 7 touchdowns)

AFC Sack Leaders: Shaun Phillips, 10th (7.0) v. Jason Worilds, 20th (5.0)

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Monday, December 03, 2012

Steelers @ Baltimore: The Good, the Bad, & the Ugly

There is no sense in crying over spilled milk, but one can only imagine how rosy things would be in the Steelers' world if they had defeated Cleveland, Oakland, and Tennessee. 10-2 with a one game lead over Baltimore? Oh, if only. But today we focus on the realities of this season, and particularly Pittsburgh's emotional win over their archnemesis, the Baltimore Ravens.

The Good

Keenan Lewis & Cortez Allen: These two young men (Mr. Lewis is 26 years old and Mr. Allen is 24 -- barely)are playing tremendous football, and have been for about the past four weeks. Together they combined for six tackes, three assists, and four passes defended. Yes, Mr. Allen was flagged for pass interference -- a patently ridiculous call -- and looked bad in giving up the touchdown to Anquan Boldin -- but in the modern NFL those things are going to happen. Making sweeping pronouncements is a dangerous thing, but assuming that these two cornerbacks continue to enhance their skills the Steelers' secondary looks to have a solid foundation for the future.

Todd Haley: It is hard to know what the game plan was coming into the contest -- third string quarterback, center playing out of position, rookie right tackle -- but it appeared that the play calling was terrific (with one notable exception -- see below). One play that illustrates this point occurred in the Steelers' opening drive of the third quarter. On 2nd & 9 at their own 38 yard line Chris Rainey lines up as a single setback to the right of Charlie Batch, on the same side of the formation as Heath Miller. The ball is snapped, Rainey drifts into the right flat, and one can see in the replay that at least two Ravens go towards him immediately. Meanwhile, Heath Miller chips an on-coming rusher -- thereby helping Kelvin Beachum -- and streaks down the hash marks where Charlie Batch hits him, in stride, for a 43-yard completion to the Ravens' 19 yard line. The design of the play was beautiful, and the execution flawless.

Jonathan Dwyer: 49 yards on 16 carries does not typically get one a lot of shout outs, but we absolutely love the powerful north-south style of running that Mr. Dwyer brings to the offense; and we are quite certain that we are not the only ones who see a little of "The Bus" in him -- the Steelers had "JB," now they have "JD." Moreover, his ability to help in pass protection -- he hit Terrell Suggs squarely in the chest with his helmet on at least one occasion -- was both critical to keeping Charlie Batch ambulatory and a beautiful thing to see.

The Bad

Charlie Batch: Nobody is happier for Charlie Batch than we are, and the postgame reaction of Ben Roethlisberger, and others, is an indication of the respect the team has for him. But the Steelers were this close to losing a game in which they simply outplayed their opponent. Because the Steelers were victorious the enduring image will be the postgame embrace of Mr. Roethlisberger and Mr. Batch. But if things hadn't gone so well then that enduring image might have been Mike Wallace alone in the Ravens' end zone with the football sailing six feet over his head.

Larry Foote & Lawrence Timmons: So many mistakes, so little time. Larry Foote trying to make great plays, and putting himself out of position, rather than making the solid play; Lawrence Timmons getting sucked inside, so much so that when Ray Rice cutback on a 2nd and 10 carry in the third quarter there was nobody around to stop him, and Mr. Rice was able to go 34 yards for a touchdown. And let's not even talk about their ability, or lack thereof, to cover man-to-man in passing situations.

The Ugly

Emmanuel Sanders: That fumble . . . has been burned into our collective memories much the same way as the dropped pass by Limas Sweed in the AFC Championship game. Hideous.

Antonio Brown: Next training camp let's have Antwaan Randle-El give Mr. Brown some tips on throwing the wide receiver option pass, and let's begin with not throwing across the field (though, in fairness, that might have been some poor play design -- sorry Todd Haley). He didn't have to throw the ball, and clearly should not have thrown the ball.

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Tuesday, November 20, 2012

Steelers @ Cleveland: The matchups

For at least the fourth time this season the Steelers face-off against a team that is genuinely terrible, but the fact that they are 1-2 in the previous three matchups should give us all pause.

As for Cleveland, the fact that Trent Richardson is both the leading rusher and receiver for the Browns is all one needs to know about their offense. However, the Cleveland punt return unit is statistically superior to Baltimore's (third in the conference versus twelfth), so there's that.

Cleveland Offense v. Steelers Defense
Average total yards per game: Cleveland offense 27th (311.9) v. Steelers defense 1st (259.1)

Average net rushing yards per game: Cleveland offense 27th (92.2) v. Steelers defense 4th (89.8)

Average net passing yards per game: Cleveland offense 19th (219.7) v. Steelers defense 1st (169.3)

Average points per game: Cleveland offense 25th (18.9) v. Steelers defense 5th (19.0)

Steelers Offense v. Cleveland Defense
Average total yards per game: Steelers offense 17th (349.8) v. Cleveland defense 23rd (374.1)

Average net rushing yards per game: Steelers offense 17th (106.8) v. Cleveland defense 24th (125.3)

Average net passing yards per game: Steelers offense 13th (243.0) v. Cleveland defense 22nd (248.8)

Average points per game: Steelers offense: 19th (21.7) v. Cleveland defense 18th (23.4)

Special Teams
Average yards per punt return: Cleveland 3rd (14.2) v. Steelers 18th (8.4)

Average yards allowed per punt return: Cleveland 31st (13.8) v. Steelers 23rd (10.9)

Average yards per kick return: Cleveland 9th (26.0) v. Steelers 6th (27.0)

Average yards allowed per kick return: Cleveland 3rd (20.4) v. Steelers 24th (25.8)

Net yardage punting average: Cleveland 27th (36.9) v. Steelers 27th (38.9)

Opponent net yardage punting average: Cleveland 5th (37.3) v. Steelers 18th (39.7)

Miscellaneous
Turnover differential: Cleveland 13th (+1) v. Steelers 20th (-3)

Time of possession: Cleveland 31st (26:43) v. Steelers 2nd (34:08)

Red Zone touchdown efficiency (touchdowns): Cleveland 31st (36.4%) v. Steelers 20th (48.6%)

Red Zone defense (touchdowns): Cleveland 13th (51.4%) v. Steelers 14th (51.7%)

Sacks allowed: Cleveland 6th (16) v. Steelers 15th (22)

Some Individual Numbers
AFC Passer rating: Brandon Weeden, 15 (70.3 QB rating, 205 Comp., 55.3% Comp. pct., 11TDs, 12 INTs) v. Charlie Batch, unranked (Career: 77.8 QB rating, Comp., 56.3% Comp. pct., 60 TDs, 48 INTs)

AFC Leading rushers: Trent Richardson, 8th (670 yards, 3.7 yards per carry, 5 touchdowns) v. Jonathan Dwyer, 15th (410 yards, 4.6 yards per carry, 0 touchdowns)

AFC Leading receiver: Trent Richardson, 28th (37 catches, 289 yards, 7.8 per catch, 1 touchdowns) v. Mike Wallace 14th (46 catches, 565 yards, 12.3 yards per catch, 6 touchdowns)

AFC Sack Leaders: D'Qwell Jackson, 25th (3.0) v. LaMarr Woodley, 20th (4.0)

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Tuesday, February 17, 2009

Charlie Batch goes back to school

Word from the NFL is that Steelers quarterback Charlie Batch has returned to school.

According to a league press release he is one of 95 players, active or retired, who has enrolled in the NFL Business Management and Entrepreneurial Program. The press release describes the program as "part of an ongoing NFL-NFLPA initiative to assist players in preparing for their post-playing careers."

Mr. Batch will be attending classes during the month of March at the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School of Business. According to the NFL "[t]he Wharton program focuses on a broad range of business topics, including financial analysis, entrepreneurship, real estate development, stock market investing, negotiation skills, risk management, and community reinvestment. Attendees work on directed as well as individual real estate, entrepreneurial and personal finance projects."

Hopefully someone will remind Mr. Batch that, if Byron Leftwich departs for an opportunity to start with another franchise, his services may still be needed in Pittsburgh next fall.

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Sunday, August 10, 2008

Preseason Begins: Injury Bug Bites Again

While on vacation in Florida we managed to keep apace of the developments iin the Steelers' first preseason game, and naturally the most important development was the injury to Charlie Batch.

The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports that Byron Leftwich is expected to be in Pittsburgh Sunday or Monday, and we have to wonder iif Brian St. Pierre -- currently third or fourth on the Arizona Cardinals' depth chart -- can be far behind.

We'll offer a more detailed look at the game, as well as Thursday night's matchup in Toronto versus Buffalo in a few days.

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Monday, December 31, 2007

Steelers @ Baltimore: The Good,
the Bad, & the Ugly

If you're a Pittsburgh Steelers player there isn't much to feel good about following the 27-21 loss to Baltimore. If you're a fan of the Steelers here's some information that will leave you shaking your head (at a minimum).

Over the last six seasons (i.e. 2002-2007, inclusive of their game this past Sunday) the Steelers and Ravens have met 12 times in the regular season. In those games:
  • Both teams have a 6-6 record
  • Both teams have averaged 20.08 points per game
  • In the six games played in Baltimore, the Steelers have a turnover differential of -7
  • In the six games played in Baltimore the Steelers have rushed for an average of 57.2 yards
With the tone properly set, here's a look at some of what went on this week.

The Good
Having warmed up for three quarters the Steelers came to life offensively, and were less putrid defensively, in the fourth quarter.

For example, in the first three quarters the Steelers' offense gained 104 net yards (47 yards of which was gained via a pass interference call against Corey Ivy). Conversely, in the fourth quarter alone the Steelers gained 197 net yards. Additionally, nearly half of all the Steelers' offensive plays for the game came in the frenetic fourth quarter (i.e. 21 of 50 -- 42%), and 25% of their non-penalty first downs (i.e. 3 of 12) occurred during that same fifteen minute period.

On the defensive side of the football, the Steelers "limited" Baltimore to 50 yards during the final quarter -- the lowest total of any of the quarters, and "only" three first downs -- also the lowest total of any quarter in the game. Finally, and most "impressive," is that the "vaunted" Steelers defense managed to keep the "explosive" Ravens offense off the scoreboard in the final period.

Also falling into the "Good" section is that nearly every single player active for the game, for the Steelers, played, indeed, the only player not to play was Brian St. Pierre. So when Mike Tomlin breaks out the "We win as a team, and lose as a team" you'll know he really means it this week.

Also, it's good that, once that Baltimore put their third-string players in the game, the Steelers kept working hard enough (with many of their starters still in the game) to put some points on the board.

No, I'm not really buying that either but it's something.

Finally, the one group amongst the Steelers that can stand proud is special teams. Ten days after the Steelers successfully executed a fake punt, they managed to pull-off a successful onside kick against the Ravens. It was, arguably, the best executed play by Pittsburgh all day long. And Daniel Sepulveda, after a very poor first effort (25 yards), delivered kicks of 48 (net of 51), 47 (net of 47), and 29 yards (net of 29, down at the Baltimore 13).

The Bad
When discussing football it is often said that the most popular person in any town is the backup quarterback; and amongst backups no one is more well-regarded than Charlie Batch. But when Mr. Batch stinks in his annual start he's got to take the criticism just like a starter.

In the first half Mr. Batch hard numbers that, quite honestly, most of us could have turned in: 5/11, 41 yards, 0 touchdowns, 1 interception, and a frightening 17.6 passer rating. That his numbers improved dramatically in the second half (and particularly in the fourth quarter, as previously discussed) was as more a function of Baltimore emptying their bench than it was a genuine improvement in the play of Mr. Batch.

Also disappointing was the performance of Willie Reid. The fumble at the beginning of the game, and the subsequent inability of the defense to stop Baltimore from getting into the end zone, ended up being the difference in the score (if not entirely the difference in the game). Then, to compound that error, he fumbled another return though, in fairness, the call was challenged and reversed. During his tenure with the Steelers Mr. Reid has been more potential than performance, and unless something positive happens during these playoffs he may be looking for a new NFL home.


The Ugly
The starting defensive front seven of the Steelers went against a youthful offensive line of the Baltimore Ravens (i.e. there are two rookies in that group) and head their figurative heads kicked in. As a result Musa Smith and Cory Ross -- who had exactly zero carries in his two year career prior to today -- looked like Pro Bowlers. Specifically, these two unknown and unheralded third stringers (in fact, Cory Ross isn't even listed on the Ravens' depth chart) combined for 155 yards on 34 carries (4.56 yards per carry), and two touchdowns.

Additionally, the defense failed to capitalize on opportunities that were all but handed to them: Ike Taylor dropped an interception; and though the Ravens fumbled the football four times, the Steelers could only come up with one of those. When an opponent wants to hand you a game you have to be ready to oblige them, and the Steelers were anything but.

And over on the other side of the football, the Steelers' offensive line turned in another horrific performance -- something that is becoming routine in Baltimore. Najeh Davenport and Gary Russell combined for 47 yards on 18 carries (2.61 yards per carry). Merriam Webster's has a perfect description of the offensive line's performance: "pa•thet•ic: pitifully inferior or inadequate."

Exactly.

Conclusion
As disappointing as the Steelers' performance was, on both sides of the football, the team has earned the opportunity to turn the page and try again. And before we decide to throw dirt on the Steelers' season just remember that the twelve playoff teams went 5-7 the final weekend. And though the Steelers struggled over the final ten games of the regular season here's a look at the records of the other playoff teams over that same period:

TeamWinsLossesPct.
New England1001.000
Dallas82.800
Green Bay82.800
San Diego82.800
Indianapolis73.700
Jacksonville73.700
N.Y. Giants64.600
Pittsburgh64.600
Seattle64.600
Tennessee55.500
Tampa Bay55.500
Washington55.500


So if the Steelers are entering the playoff tournament playing less than their best take solace in two indisputable facts:
  1. There are playoff teams playing worse than they are.

  2. Cleveland was 8-2 in their final ten games, and missed out on the playoffs by losing to Cincinnati, and then watching Kerry Collins lead Tennessee to a fourth quarter comeback on the road in Indianapolis.

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Friday, November 03, 2006

Ebenezer Ekuban Speaks Out

The NFL Network is reporting the Ebenezer Ekuban has made his feelings about facing Ben Roethlisberger this weekend known:

"Nothing against Ben [Roethlisberger] - he's a Super Bowl quarterback. But you know what? The tape doesn't lie. I'd rather face Ben than Charlie Batch just because how their offense has been doing with Charlie Batch in there."

It's hard to argue with him, but if Mr. Roethlisberger required any additional motivation here it is.

And in the conversation that took place on the air, Rod Woodson argued (forcefully) that Mr. Roethlisberger should find a spot on the bench.

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