Monday, December 10, 2012

San Diego vs. Steelers: The good, the bad, & the ugly

We know what you are saying: It was all ugly, wasn't it?

It was ugly enough that we stopped watching the game after the fourth quarter interception of Ben Roethlisberger's pass by San Diego linebacker Bront Bird (there was yard work to do, and it seemed like a good release for all the frustration). But there is value in finding the good amongst the hideous, and that is what this week's effort is -- looking for a diamond (however small) in the rough.

The Good

We warned you it might be like this: Our introduction to the weekly matchups went like this:
One might look at the Chargers' horrible record (4-8) and be tempted to take this week's Steelers opponent lightly. But this Chargers team is so much better than their record, or statistics, indicate that it promises to be a long, tough battle at Heinz Field on Sunday. Indeed, the Chargers are 0-3 against the AFC North this season, but the losses were by a combined 11 points (with seven of that coming last week versus Cincinnati), and in their road games this season the Chargers are 2-4, but have only been outscored by a combined 8 points (114-122).

So, take us more seriously from now on, won't you?

First half defense: We admit that we are reaching here, but given the ineptitude of the Steelers' offense it is amazing that the score was only 13-3. Moreover, the Chargers ran an incredible 41 plays in the first half but only gained 143 yards (a 3.49 yards per play average). Top all of that off with the fact that the average starting position for the Chargers' eight first half possessions was their own 45-yard line, and you have to tip your cap to Pittsburgh's defense for keeping it close.

The Bad

Hey Mike Tomlin, enough gambling, ok?: We understand the second quarter decision to go for it on fourth-and one at the Steelers' 47-yard line. It should have been a gimme'; but between this and the fake field goal attempt earlier this season . . . well, let's just say that we'd like to see the conservative Mike Tomlin re-emerge. The inability to get that one yard, and San Diego's ability to drive for a field goal ended up being a bigger deal than may have been apparent at the time.

Mike Wallace: We are tired of watching games in which Mr. Wallace follows up a costly penalty with a dropped pass. There is no way for us to know if this season long funk is the result of his holdout or some other issue entirely, but at this moment all we can say to him is don't let the door hit ya' where the good Lord split ya'.

The Ugly

The Steelers' Offense: The final game statistics make everything look much more palatable, but during the first half -- when the game was still winnable -- the Steelers' offense had eight possessions, six of which that ended with punts, one that ended on downs, and one that ended with a field goal. Stated another way, on the field goal drive in the first half the Steelers' offense gained 59 yards. On the other seven possessions the offense gained a total of 64 yards. Or, stated still another way, the Steelers' ten longest plays from scrimmage combined for a net of 212 yards (an average of 21.2 yards per play). Their other 51 offensive plays combined for 128 net yards (an average of 2.5 per play).

Second half defense: Down by ten to begin the second half the Steelers defense was immediately sliced and diced for a 78-yard, 9:32 touchdown drive by San Diego. The Steelers' offense was horrible, but after putting up a good fight in the first half it seems the defense had nothing left to give.

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Tuesday, December 04, 2012

San Diego vs. Steelers: The matchups

One might look at the Chargers' horrible record (4-8) and be tempted to take this week's Steelers opponent lightly. But this Chargers team is so much better than their record, or statistics, indicate that it promises to be a long, tough battle at Heinz Field on Sunday. Indeed, the Chargers are 0-3 against the AFC North this season, but the losses were by a combined 11 points (with seven of that coming last week versus Cincinnati), and in their road games this season the Chargers are 2-4, but have only been outscored by a combined 8 points (114-122).

With all of that in mind, here are this week's statistical matchups:

San Diego Offense v. Steelers Defense
Average total yards per game: San Diego offense 26th (322.1) v. Steelers defense 1st (259.8)

Average net rushing yards per game: San Diego offense 26th (95.0) v. Steelers defense 5th (93.1)

Average net passing yards per game: San Diego offense 18th (227.1) v. Steelers defense 1st (166.7)

Average points per game: San Diego offense 19th (21.5) v. Steelers defense 6th (19.2)

Steelers Offense v. San Diego Defense
Average total yards per game: Steelers offense 20th (342.0) v. San Diego defense 9th (335.1)

Average net rushing yards per game: Steelers offense 24th (101.1) v. San Diego defense 6th (94.5)

Average net passing yards per game: Steelers offense 14th (240.9) v. San Diego defense 21st (240.6)

Average points per game: Steelers offense: 20th (21.2) v. San Diego defense 12th (21.4)

Special Teams
Average yards per punt return: San Diego 31st (6.1) v. Steelers 27th (6.9)

Average yards allowed per punt return: San Diego 14th (9.3) v. Steelers 24th (10.9)

Average yards per kick return: San Diego 14th (24.1) v. Steelers 9th (26.2)

Average yards allowed per kick return: San Diego 7th (21.6) v. Steelers 21st (25.2)

Net yardage punting average: San Diego 15th (41.6) v. Steelers 28th (37.2)

Opponent net yardage punting average: San Diego 26th (41.8) v. Steelers 18th (40.1)

Miscellaneous
Turnover differential: San Diego 18th (-1) v. Steelers 29th (-11)

Time of possession: San Diego 5th (31:31) v. Steelers 2nd (33:31)

Red Zone touchdown efficiency (touchdowns): San Diego 24th (47.4%) v. Steelers 19th (51.3%)

Red Zone defense (touchdowns): San Diego 29th (62.1%) v. Steelers 10th (50.0%)

Sacks allowed: San Diego 28th (36) v. Steelers 11th (25)

Some Individual Numbers
AFC Passer rating: Philip Rivers, 6th (85.1 QB rating, 277 Comp., 65.3% Comp. pct., 18 TDs, 15 INTs) v. Charlie Batch, unranked (2012 season: 64.9 QB rating, Comp., 64.3% Comp. pct., 1 TD, 3 INTs)

AFC Leading rushers: Ryan Mathews, 12th (620 yards, 4.0 yards per carry, 1 touchdown) v. Jonathan Dwyer, 13th (478 yards, 4.2 yards per carry, 1 touchdown)

AFC Leading receiver: Malcolm Floyd, 17th (51 catches, 765 yards, 15.0 per catch, 4 touchdowns) v. Heath Miller 14th (56 catches, 613 yards, 10.9 yards per catch, 7 touchdowns)

AFC Sack Leaders: Shaun Phillips, 10th (7.0) v. Jason Worilds, 20th (5.0)

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Thursday, January 15, 2009

Chargers v. Steelers:
The Good,the Bad, & the Ugly

Because it was a playoff game, and a divisional matchup to boot, the game between San Diego and Pittsburgh was analyzed ad nauseum. However there are a couple of points we would still like to make.

The Good
  1. He receives a great deal of criticism, but on Sunday Mitch Berger outkick his more heralded counterpart (i.e. Mike Scifres) by five yards per kick (i.e. Mr. Berger had a net punting average of 42.0 yards ~ 5.6 yards better than his regular season net average ~ while Mr. Scifres had a net average of 35.0 yards ~ 5.9 yards worse than his regular season average). Naturally Mr. Scifres' net average took a big hit thanks to the 67-yard return by Santonio Holmes, but we still like to give credit when it is earned.

  2. Teams are going out of their way to control James Harrison ~ he was double teamed all day long ~ but as a result LaMarr Woodley is getting opportunities to make plays; and on Sunday he took full advantage. His five tackles were second best on the team Sunday, and his three quarterback hits and two sacks led the Steelers' defense.
The Bad
  1. That the Steelers' defense made San Diego's offense one-dimensional is undeniable, but we were not particularly pleased with the stat line generated by Philip Rivers: 21/35, 308 yards, 3 touchdowns, and a 105.4 quarterback rating. Frankly, if we had been told in advance of the game that Mr. Rivers would have those kinds of numbers we would have been very concerned about the outcome. Yes, 20% of his total passing yardage came on the 62-yard touchdown pass to Darren Sproles with two minutes left in the game, however it still was a less than ideal performance by the Pittsburgh pass defense.
The Ugly
  1. The kickoff coverage unit has been a strength throughout the season ~ in fact they were the #1 unit in the NFL during the regular season ~ but on Sunday they nearly allowed the Chargers to climb back into the game on the strength of the 63-yard return by Mr. Sproles. Unfortunately, it seemed like old times.

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Wednesday, January 07, 2009

San Diego v. Steelers: The Weekly Matchups, the Divisional Playoff Edition

As we look forward to next Sunday's game there is one point that cannot be argued: the Chargers are a very hot team.

We really believed that the key to the recent surge by San Diego has been improved defensive play ~ Ron Rivera was someone we believed was worthy of an interview when the Steelers were looking for a new head coach (and ultimately hired Mike Tomlin), and we have a great deal of respect for his work. However, in looking at the numbers we are not sure our original supposition was correct. Since their loss in Pittsburgh back on November 16, 2008 the Chargers' defense has surrendered 340 or more yards in four of their final six regular season games, including 406 yards in the season finale against Denver. The two games in which the Chargers' defense "stiffened" they were facing Oakland and Kansas City.

Another point that surprised us was that the San Diego defense has surrendered 21 or more points in five of their last six regular season games.

Against Indianapolis last week, the Chargers gave up 366 net yards and 17 points.

Instead of improved defensive play (though in fairness they have been effective at employing a "bend, don't break" approach), it seems that the San Diego offense has sparked the resurgence. For example, in their last six regular season games the Chargers have scored 30 or more points three times. By way of comparison, they scored 30 or more points four times in their first ten games. Also, in their final six regular season games the Chargers gained 370 or more net yards five times, including 491 net yards in their final regular season game against Denver. In their first ten games the achieved that mark four times.

Looks like the Steelers' defense is in for a the bigger challenge on Sunday.

One additional statistical fact before getting to "the" numbers ~ in their history, the Steelers are 10-2 at home in the Divisional round of the playoffs.

Here are this week's numbers:

San Diego Offense v. Steelers Defense
Average total yards per game: San Diego offense 11th (349.0) v. Steelers defense 1st (237.2)

Average net rushing yards per game: San Diego offense 20th (107.9) v. Steelers defense 2nd (80.3)

Average net passing yards per game: San Diego offense 7th (241.1) v. Steelers defense 1st (156.9)

Average points per game: San Diego offense 2nd (27.4) v. Steelers defense 1st (13.9)

Steelers Offense v. San Diego Defense
Average total yards per game: Steelers offense 22nd (311.9) v. San Diego defense 25th (349.9)

Average net rushing yards per game: Steelers offense 23rd (105.6) v. San Diego defense 14th (102.6)

Average net passing yards per game: Steelers offense 17th (206.3) v. San Diego defense 31st (247.4)

Average points per game: Steelers offense: 20th (21.7) v. San Diego defense 15th (21.7)

Special Teams
Average yards per punt return: San Diego 8th (10.3) v. Steelers 31st (6.0)

Average yards allowed per punt return: San Diego 5th (6.3) v. Steelers 4th (6.0)

Average yards per kick return: San Diego 9th (24.0) v. Steelers 29th (20.3)

Average yards allowed per kick return: San Diego 14th (22.6) v. Steelers 1st (19.1)

Net yardage punting average: San Diego 2nd (40.9) v. Steelers 24th (35.7)

Opponent net yardage punting average: San Diego 27th (38.7) v. Steelers 21st (38.5)

Miscellaneous
Turnover differential: San Diego 11th (+4) v. Steelers 11th (+4)

Time of possession: San Diego 23rd (28:52) v. Steelers 6th (31:30)

Red Zone touchdown efficiency (touchdowns): San Diego 11th (56.9%) v. Steelers 15th (55.1%)

Red Zone defense (touchdowns): San Diego 15th (52.8%) v. Steelers 1st (33.3%)

Sacks allowed: San Diego 8th (25) v. Steelers 29th (49)

Some Individual Numbers
AFC Passer rating: Philip Rivers, 1st (105.5, Comp. Pct.: 65.3, TDs: 34, INTs: 11, Avg. per Comp.: 8.39 yards) v. Ben Roethlisberger, 12th (80.1, Comp. Pct.: 59.9, TDs: 17, INTs: 15, Avg. per Comp.: 7.04 yards)

AFC Leading rushers: LaDanian Tomlinson, 4th (1,110 yards on 292 carries) v. Willie Parker, 12th (791 yards on 210 carries)
Note: During the regular season Darren Sproles rushed for 330 yards on 61 carries

AFC Leading receivers: Antonio Gates, 20th (60 catches, 704 yards, 11.7 per catch, 8 touchdowns) v. Hines Ward, 9th (81 catches, 1,043 yards, 12.9 yards per catch, 7 touchdowns)

AFC Dropped Passes: No San Diego Chargers receivers are listed amongst the "top" 25 v. Hines Ward, 7th (7)

AFC sack leaders: Shaun Phillips, 11th (7.5 sacks) v. James Harrison, 2nd (16.0)

AFC Interception Leaders: Stephen Cooper, 8th (4) v. Troy Polamalu, 2nd (7)

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Sunday, January 04, 2009

Steelers to host San Diego

We recognize there is a prediction of Sunday's AFC winner implicit in this posting, but we are as confident in that pick (i.e. Baltimore over Miami) as we were in our belief that San Diego would defeat Indianapolis. If Miami should pull off the upset, please forget we ever said anything.

Be that as it may, we are going to take a stab at previewing the Chargers, and there was no player ~ on either team ~ who was more impressive Saturday evening than San Diego punter Mike Scifres. His net punting average for the game ~ 51.7 yards ~ was nearly eleven yards better than his net average for the season (40.9); and after kicking 19 punts inside the opponents' 20 yard line during sixteen regular season games, he was six-for-six against the Colts.

For those who are hoping that the cold weather in Pittsburgh may negatively impact his performance next Sunday please keep in mind that in the earlier meeting this season between these two teams (November 16, 2008 ~ the game time temperature was 35°F) Mr. Scifres outkicked his season average by more than two yards (43.5 v. 40.9) and both of his punts were downed inside the Steelers' 20 yard line. More specifically, his first punt in that game (in the second quarter) saw Mewelede Moore take a fair catch at the Pittsburgh 9 yard line, and his second punt (also in the second quarter) ~ a 50-yard effort ~ forced Mr. Moore to take a fair catch at his own 14-yard line. Finally, Mr. Scifres also had a 75-yard free kick following a second quarter safety. That kick, and an illegal block penalty, left the Steelers to begin a drive from their own six yard line.

On Saturday night Mike Scifres was a weapon, and if he manages to have a similar game in Pittsburgh ~ combined with the Steelers' inability to return punts (they finished the season 31st in that statistical category) ~ it could make for a very long day for the fans of the Black & Gold.

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Wednesday, November 12, 2008

San Diego v. Steelers: The Matchups

The Pittsburgh Steelers have never lost a regular season home game versus the San Diego Chargers (though they are 0-2 in the playoffs against them). Furthermore, the Steelers have not lost two consecutive home games since 2005 (9/25 v. New England, 20-23 and 10/16 versus Jacksonville, 17-23).

So everything should be just fine this weekend, right?

Here are this week's numbers:

San Diego Offense v. Steelers Defense
Average total yards per game: San Diego offense 10th (349.3) v. Steelers defense 1st (240.3)

Average net rushing yards per game: San Diego offense 25th (96.1) v. Steelers defense 2nd (69.2)

Average net passing yards per game: San Diego offense 6th (253.2) v. Steelers defense 1st (171.1)

Average points per game: San Diego offense 5th (20.9) v. Steelers defense 3rd (15.6)

Steelers Offense v. San Diego Defense
Average total yards per game: Steelers offense 26th (288.0) v. San Diego defense 26th (368.0)

Average net rushing yards per game: Steelers offense 24th (96.7) v. San Diego defense 13th (69.2)

Average net passing yards per game: Steelers offense 24th (191.3) v. San Diego defense 32nd (171.1)

Average points per game: Steelers offense: 17th (22.0) v. San Diego defense 21st (24.2)

Special Teams
Average yards per punt return: San Diego 10th (10.9) v. Steelers 29th (6.0)

Average yards allowed per punt return: San Diego 8th (7.1) v. Steelers 3rd (5.0)

Average yards per kick return: San Diego 4th (25.2) v. Steelers 29th (20.2)

Average yards allowed per kick return: San Diego 19th (23.2) v. Steelers 3rd (20.2)

Net yardage punting average: San Diego 1st (42.9) v. Steelers 14th (38.0)

Opponent net yardage punting average: San Diego 29th (39.8) v. Steelers 24th (39.4)

Miscellaneous
Turnover differential: San Diego 22nd (-3) v. Steelers 20th (-2)

Time of possession: San Diego 23rd (28:28) v. Steelers 17th (30:12)

Red Zone touchdown efficiency (touchdowns): San Diego 19th (50.0%) v. Steelers 2nd (70.8%)

Red Zone defense (touchdowns): San Diego 19th (55.9%) v. Steelers 2nd (34.6%)

Sacks allowed: San Diego 7th (12) v. Steelers 30th (31)

Some Individual Numbers
AFC Passer rating: Philip Rivers, 1st (106.3) v. Ben Roethlisberger, 13th (76.1)

AFC Leading rushers: LaDanian Tomlinson, 3rd (629 yards) v. Mewelde Moore, 3rd (377 yards)

AFC Leading receivers: Antonio Gates, 18th (38 catches, 469 yards, 12.3 per catch, 6 touchdowns) v. Hines Ward, 14th (43 catches, 589 yards, 13.7 yards per catch, 4 touchdowns)

AFC sack leaders: Shaun Phillips, 43rd (3.5 sacks each) v. James Harrison, 2nd (11.0)

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Tuesday, September 09, 2008

Future Opponents, Dramtic Stories

Tuesday was an unusually busy day of dramatic stories involving some players on NFL team whom the Steelers will be facing later this season. We offer up links for your convenience:

Jaguars: Jacksonville police now believe that jags' offensive lineman Richard Collier was targeted by his attackers when he was shot on September 2nd.

Chargers: Shawne Merriman, whose decision to not have knee surgery caused some much conversation over the summer, is now having knee surgery, and is out for the remainder of the season.

Patriots: Carson Palmer's surgeon says Tom Brady will be back sooner than you think.

Titans: Nashville police say they found a gun in Vince Young's car ~ but that it wasn't loaded.

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Wednesday, January 09, 2008

A Quick & Dirty Preview of
Games We Don't Care About

Oddly enough there are still teams playing NFL games.

For those who want to know who will win those games -- and why would you -- here's a look at the yards per catch and giveaway/takeaway ratios (a "system" Pat Kirwan mentioned on Sirus radio's Movin' the Chains Inside the Red Zone) for the teams still in the NFL playoffs.

Seattle @ Green Bay
Giveaway/Takeaway: Seattle +10, Green Bay +4
Yards per Catch: Seattle 7.1, Green Bay 7.7

Looks like a nail-biter

Jacksonville @ New England
Giveaway/Takeaway: Jacksonville +9, New England +16
Yards per Catch: Jacksonville 7.5, New England 8.3

New England for the win, but by 13?

San Diego @ Indianapolis
Giveaway/Takeaway: San Diego +24, Indianapolis +18
Yards per Catch: San Diego 6.7, Indianapolis 7.6

These two teams are #1 (Chargers) & #2 (Colts) in takeaways. Looks like a close one as well.

N.Y. Giants @ Dallas
Giveaway/Takeaway: N.Y. Giants -9, Dallas +5
Yards per Catch: N.Y. Giants 6.2, Dallas 8.1

Looks like a blowout in the making

One final comment. One motivation for watching these games is this: Except for Green Bay and Seattle the Steelers will be playing all of these teams next season.

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